Orange fever has also reached capital. According to Metroscopia barometer for country on occasion of San Isidro Day, citizens would win municipal elections if held today. With 31.2% of votes, party of Albert Rivera would be in a position to govern city if trend is maintained in elections of May 26, 2019. Now Madrid, coalition with which current mayor, Manuela Carmena, would remain in 28.8%, while PP and PSOE would be located far away, with 19.7% and 14.9%.More information
- Historical fall of PP and PSOE due to rise of new parties
- Citizens and United we can give for surpassed bipartisanship after survey of Metroscopia
- Bipartisanship descends to worst results of its history
These data reproduced in Madrid that gave for whole of Spain barometer that yesterday published country, because y place two new parties ahead of formations that traditionally have been distributed power during last decades. In fact, citizens and now Madrid, brand under which it is presented can in capital, add 60% of votes, compared to 34.6% that meet PP and PSOE.
However, political scene of city of Madrid is somewhat different from that of Spain. In whole country, citizens have a very prominent position and or three parties are almost equal. In case of city of Madrid, both citizens and brand linked to can be disputed first position, leaving PP and PSOE in a very secondary situation. This is due, fundamentally, to good image that electors have on current mayor, Manuela Carmena.
According to data from Metroscopia, candidate of citizens, Begoña Villacís, is on way to becoming future mayor of capital, as her training would get 19 of 57 councillors with whom city council. The ascent is spectacular with respect to elections of 2015, where party of Rivera obtained 11.4% of votes and only seven councillors. As already happens in whole of Spain, rise of citizens is closely linked to decline of PP, since party of Mariano Rajoy would remain with 11-12 councillors (now y are 21) and would obtain ir worst data in history in capital: 19.7%. The popular only manage to retain 46% of those who voted for Esperanza Aguirre three years ago, and it is especially striking percentage of those who have fled to citizens at this time: 33%.
However, in left field re is less movement. The coalition that clinched Carmena would now achieve 28.8% of votes, barely 3.1 points less, and would leave between two and three seats along way (has 20). For its part, PSOE would repeat results of three years ago: nine councillors and 14.9%.
The allocation of seats that is extracted from survey leaves little room for speculation on possible alliances to achieve 29 councillors that are required to reach absolute majority, as citizens only add that figure with help of PP or now Madrid. Therefore, it is very likely that popular, despite plummeting, end up having key to governability.Good image
Manuela Carmena is only policy of capital that gets approved of a majority of citizens, achieving a percentage of approval of 54%. In fact, its political performance is considered positive by 68% of voters of PSOE and by 40% of voters of citizens. Villacís also has more approval percentage than censorship, and its work is more supported by PP voters (53% in favor) than for citizens (52%).
Interestingly, good image of mayor does not extend to her work in city council or performance of her municipal group. This is evident when citizens are asked wher Madrid is being well-managed. In this sense, 45% respond affirmatively and 54% in a negative way. And when you ask about performance of group of now Madrid in city council, level of disapproval reaches 53%. Just get approved one party: citizens.The importance of having a good candidate
Metroscopia's survey of city of Madrid shows candidate's weight regardless of acronym when it comes to municipal elections. Only this explains that current mayor, Manuela Carmena, has a good image among all neighbors, but coalition with which was presented three years ago, No. Hence, for now Madrid is essential that Carmena repeat as a candidate. And it is also not surprising that PSOE has thrown yew trees at Carmena to lead ir lists.
Begoña Villacís, of citizens, is also a good candidate, although its percentage of approval is inferior to that which obtains its party. And those who have it worse are PP and PSOE. Its spokesmen in consistory, José Luis Martínez-Almeida and purification Causapié, respectively, are very little known, and among those who know ir performance is censored. Those of PP prefer Villacís and those of PSOE, to Carmena.