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We can and common lose votes in favor of all parties except the PP

The contradictions in the discourse and ambiguity of Colau justify according to the polls the volatility of its electorate

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We can and common lose votes in favor of all parties except the PP
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The high loss of votes both to independence parties and to constitutionalists reflected in last CIS has stoked fear that ir coalition with Catalonia in Comú worsen results of 2015. The concern in absence of two weeks for 21-D is to obtain less than 11 seats of two years ago, since n y did not have oretical added value of Commons of Ada Colau. The contradictions in speech and ambiguity of mayor of Barcelona in Catalan crisis justify volatility of its electorate.

The fronts multiply in all directions for Pablo Iglesias and his Catalan allies. Except for PP, or parties attract more than 40% of voters of Catalonia yes that is pot (CSQP), formed by Podem, initiative and United, in 2015. The CIS gives m nine seats in front of 11 of 27-S (11 in Barcelona, one in Tarragona and anor in Girona). The intent to vote is 8.6%, three tenths below two years ago. But with an important nuance: this time y mark pattern in Coalition Commons of Ada Colau, which, according to CIS, would be far from disputing victory. The spokesman of United we can in Congress, Irene Montero, refused to evaluate polls. The polls predict a decline but Xavier Domènech, head of list, turned sock and stressed in campaign start rally that will have "key to governance" and will be decisive.

The key and Borgen series

À. P

Xavier Domènech, candidate of Catalunya in Comú-Podem, exhibited at rally of start of campaign, in L'Hospitalet, a key to symbolize that y can have key of governability and to be decisive in Parlament. The Commons, which a year ago projected to displace PDeCAT as a hegemonic force, have assumed this role to point that candidate publishes every day a campaign diary playing with Borgen, Danish series of political fiction in which Birgite Nyborg, leader of MO Derados, hinge party, has become prime minister. "In series two great Parties are unable to agree until someone is able to overcome two blocks does it ring?", says campaign start in allusion to independence and Constitutionalist bloc and in which he identifies Domènech-so he did Also Pablo Iglesias-"Borgen candidate".

"Catalunya in Comú-Podem has one of lowest fidelity, its central position in a context of polarization does not help him as before happened to ICV and CSQP. "Polarization is now greater," explains Pablo Simón. The University professor Carlos III says that coalition of Churches and Colau penalizes that "has not had a unique position" in procés. It puts as an example that "y called to participation as soon as mobilization" on October 1 "but n y disunderstood and opted for speech contrary to DUI and to 155". "Your problem is that it makes border everywhere." "That's why y have a hard time maintaining ir base," refers Berta Barbet, political and editor of Politikon.

The Commons group in ir party to Federalists, Confederalists and independentists — least — and in this extreme pulse y resent. The independentism accuses m of false equidistance and constitutionalists of being ambiguous. According to CIS, 15.6% of those who voted for mselves to be Pot — a volcanic group — would now opt for some independence list. Thus, 8.6% would opt for ERC; 3.7% would do it for Junts per Catalunya and 3.3% for CUP. However, its main water route in Catalonia is constitutional bloc. His biggest vote getter is PSC. Miquel Iceta's party would attract 21.5% of CSQP voters. "It reflects that a part of those who voted for m in 2015 and now opt for so-called unionist parties did more for social issues," stresses Simon.

The bite of citizens is not negligible: 7.1%. The discordant note is put by PP, only one that would not profit from coalition and with a less loyal electorate than common ones. And something worse: 8.8% of CSQP voters would never vote for m. The fear of worsening records of CSQP is fought with hope that awake Domènech, much better known than in its day Lluis Rabell, independent who was head of list in 2015. He has already led in Comú Podem, first force in Catalonia in generals of 2015 and 2016. "We have only candidate capable of bridging." The rest are located in blocks that do not want to listen and understand or side, "Montero said.

The Commons want to break bloc policy by knowing that extreme polarization — y accuse citizens of living from it — y undermine terrain. Domènech glared The polls in an elegant way in campaign boot saying that story "can be rewritten". According to CIS, it is second most valued list head (4.79) only surpassed by Oriol Junqueras (ERC), only one that approves (5.12).


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