Both are opposite poles, apparently: White House tenant, already in years, is outgoing, mouth, and maintains an Olympic contempt for details or preparation. Its counterpart, very young — 34 years — and of which few biographical data are known for security, has proven to be a well-prepared planner, far removed from stereotype of irrational tyrant who adorned his far, Kim Jong-il, and even during his early years to Command.More information
- Kim and Trump, a historic summit under signs of optimism
- The long and complex denuclearization of North Korea that Trump wants to pact
- Kim's Selfi during his night walk in Singapore
Perhaps because he has studied outside and has seen world. Perhaps because he knows better what he wants or feels more secure in power, while his far was preyed on by terror that fall of Soviet Union could be replicated in his regime. The negotiation styles of far and son have been very different. Young Kim seems to be intensely focused on his goals, as CIA's Exanalyst Jung H Pak emphasizes. Before, in its armaments program; Now, in his diplomatic offensive. "When he does something, he goes for it all," he posted on think tank Brookings Institution website.
During Kim Jong-Il's tenure — and until very recently — North Korean pattern in international talks was always similar: increasing tension through threatening statements, weapons testing, and provocations to force parties to sit The table. Once in it, demand in return for any concession — more apparent than real — economic compensation.
This tactic has changed this year, since Kim Jong-Un offered his country's participation in Winter Olympics in South Korea. To thaw among Koreas, facilitated by availability of South Korean president, Moon Jae-in, visits have been made to China, a reception to Russian foreign minister and, of course, Summit of Singapore, icing on cake. His argument: He has already completed his nuclear program and wants to concentrate on economic development of his country. And he says he is willing to go through denuclearization of Korean peninsula if he receives credible assurances about safety of his regime.
"He has been consistent, when he says he wants to enrich his people. In exchange for denuclearization it can receive many things. And if price is not what you think is right, you can backtrack, "said recently South Korean professor of international relations Kim Joon-Hyung, Handong University.
The tone has been remarkably conciliatory. With a jump, that's right. In early May a statement by his government following old tempestuous rhetoric motivated Trump to cancel Singapore summit. Once, answer would have been to return fire with fire and insult with insult. This time, it was surprisingly meek: "We reiterate to United States our willingness to sit face to face at any time and in any way to solve problem," said a statement by regime.
On June 1, Trump received Kim Yong-chol, man of trust of North Korean leader, in White House and again declared countdown to summit.
Details of that meeting proved to what extent senior North Korean officials have studied — team that takes American issues has spent decades analyzing that country — Trump's psychology: The huge envelope with a personal letter from Kim Jong-UN It would have been out of place in a television contest.
The South Korean negotiators who have spoken with Kim mention a surprisingly mature leader for his age, very polite, who does not need to consult papers to speak and who knows issues to be dealt with. Notably, it has strived throughout negotiating process to create constructive relationships with all stakeholders, wher President Xi JInping of China, Moon Jae-in or U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. Something key, that his far never really cultivated.
Young Kim is also comfortable with cameras, as demonstrated by Inter-Korean summit on 27 April. A leader who first appeared before international public was surprised by his knowledge of how to behave in media: he was smiling, reasonable and even spontaneous, when he took Moon's hand to cross border line.
But if you can show yourself folksy to media, behind him remains Iron fist leader who did not tremble his pulse in ordering execution of his uncle, General Jang Song-Thaek in 2013, and who has been behind murder with nerve gas of his bror Kim Jong-nam E N Kuala Lumpur Airport in 2017.
The test of fire arrives now. The first question is wher you know how to treat Trump and wher chemistry will emerge between m. The second is what y negotiate. Wher it will be possible to achieve results, even in medium or long term. Or if, as it happened in his far's day, negotiations will end up breaking sooner or later.